Inside Philippine politics & beyond

Sen. Chiz infuriates Marcos family

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By Raïssa Robles

USE THIS - 2016 Elections UPDATES June 8-15Only a block of cheese, er, Chiz stands between Sen. Bongbong Marcos Jr. and the vice-presidency.

Which is why, one political analyst told me, the Marcos family is infuriated at Sen. Francis “Chiz” Escudero.

Who is he anyway? Just the son of Salvador “Sonny” Escudero, a former alalay of their late patriarch, President Ferdinand Marcos.

And what’s the hurry? Sen. Chiz is only 46 years old, plus his term ends yet in 2019. While Sen. Bongbong is 58 and is “graduating” next year. Meaning, if he loses next year he will have to sit out at least three years to get back into another elective post.

The least that Sen. Chiz could do – to show some gratitude to the Marcos family – is to give way to Sen. Bongbong, and perhaps even endorse him. That way, Sen. Bongbong will have an easy shot at the vice-presidency. That’s what the Marcoses are trying to tell Sen. Chiz right now.

But Sen. Chiz is stubborn, at least for now. He is not dropping out. He has been topping all poll surveys for the vice-presidential race, with Sen. Bongbong now running a far second. In the 2010 presidential race, Sen. Chiz backed out at the last minute, joined the Aquino campaign. Yun pala, DPA for Mayor Jejomar Binay. LOL. Despite this, the LP still fielded Chiz as “guest candidate” for senator in 2013, along with Grace Poe.

You could say the LP created its own problems for 2016.

What’s the voter appeal of Sen. Chiz and Sen. Grace Poe? If you look at the video clips of their rally in Tawi-Tawi, they both look like kids waving to the crowd. And the voter profile is getting younger and younger.

How about Rep. Leni Robredo? How is she doing?

The analyst told me it may be “too late” for her to spurt to the head of the pack.

From what I have seen in previous elections, nothing is “too late” unless you think it.

My favorite analyst conceded so many unexpected things could still happen. “Mahabang sitcom ito.” he said.

Bring out the popcorn?

Comments

  1. This is my take:
    Cheesedog’s recklessness will melt him down as the election fever heats up, just like a cheese over grilled patty.

    In the case of Bongbong, the sins of the conjugal dictatorship is definitely catching up on him.

    Gringo has become a panis na BIHON (Binay-Honasan), a has been.

    Trillanes’ temper and being adventurous will not get him nearer the post he is aiming for. I like him being a fiscalizer at the senate.

    Cayetano’s parasitic clinging with Du30 was uncalled for and offended even his supporters.

    Robredo may be at the tail end of surveys but her credentials, appeal to the grassroots and the youth just like a RORO sailing even in the high seas will take us to the port of call.

    RORO will take us there!!!!

    • First, I like Mar and Leni to win.
      Second, at the rate events are unfolding, it will be an uphill battle for them to win.
      It is one thing to hope and another to see the”present” political reality.

      One reality is that Mar is really a hard and Leni went into the fray a liitle bit late.
      But as I said, uphill battle as it seems, there are still five months for the Mar strategists to correct the flaws.

      They were very successful on Binay reducing the VP to an insignificant candidate. Unfortunately, they failed to make the strategy a two -pronged attack. Aiming to discredit Binay and make Mar a popular candidate. As if it is enough to arrest Binay’s popularity to make Mar winnable.

      They failed to include in the equation the tandem of ambitious Poe and Escudero, and failed to recognize the mass appeal of Duterte.

      Five months to go, LP strategists will have to scramble for the right formula otherwise it is goodbye for Mar.

      I am just being realistic.

      • Good point. And Mar should start to be more combative in the next few weeks. Pag-aralan humarap sa media at maayos na maipaliwanag ang mga pinupunto.

      • Can LENI outrun Bongbong? OMGoosssh! YES!

        With or without tsinelas LENI finished the LINE and Bongbong will take until sunset to reach it.

        Where’re Trilla and Honas? Wait until midnight when they come!

        he he

        • Say you are Roxas and given the option to choose among the other candidates beside Leni, who can you trust?

          Bongbong – derinitely no!

          Chiz – do you want a snake to bite you dead and replace you?

          Trilla – with any minor issue he will use it to try a coup?

          Cayetano – do you like to choose against the interest of the Filipino and the Constitution regarding Political Dynasties? This guy will defend and make Political Dynasty be absolutely followed in every province! He will be Czar Pyotor!

          Seems Roxas does not have any choice at all, therefore choose Leni Robredo he must!

  2. Comment from Dr. Jose Ramon Albert, former Secretary General of the Philippine Statistics Authority-National Statistical Coordination Board (PSA-NSCB), & current President of the Philippine Statistical Association, Inc. (PSAI) for 2014-2015:

    “the Duterte camp released reportedly a survey of Pulse Asia that showed Duterte beating Poe however, there is more than meets the eye.Pulse Asia would not do a survey using 300 respondents. likely Pulse Asia did a survey with 1200 respondents (300 Metro Manila, 300 balance Luzon, 300 Visayas and 300 Mindanao) but the Duterte camp released only the Metro Manila results with 300 respondents. Metro Manila results would have a margin of error of 6 percentage points. this means Duterte (getting 34 percent) is tied to Poe (getting 26 percent and even to Binay who got 22 percent) in Metro Manila and not leading. Why were the national results of this survey not shown by the Duterte camp? lilkely because Duterte is not leading nationally… seems the Duterte camp has tricks from the Marcos era of giving half truths, and some people are buying it. TSK TSK TSK…”

    – See more at: http://www.ellentordesillas.com/2015/11/27/duterte-and-aesops-fable-about-the-frogs-who-desired-a-king/#sthash.vgdBMvKI.dpuf

    • One technique to determine a survey’s credibility is to look at the historical activities of the polling firm and its links to academe. If its principals are unknown to many and there are no peers in the social science survey community who can vouch for it, it is suspicious.

      Laylo survey, the DZRH survey,etc

      If it only pops up during election season, it is very doubtful it is reliable.

  3. Poe’s DQ timing

    1. If Poe is DQ’d by SC before the end of the year, her name will definitely be in the ballot.

    Implications – Escudero and Team Poe Senatoriables will suffer the halo effect since Poe’s name is not visible in the ballot and Poe’s fairy dust will no longer be visible, hence outright hefty losses on their Team.

    2. If Poe is DQ’d after the end of the year, then her name is still in the ballot.

    Implications – Escudero and Team Poe Senatoriables retain some halo effect. There will confusion among the voters since Poe’s name is among the list of choices and a substantial functioning moronic masa who supports Poe will surely choose her name. There will be plenty of stray votes or invalid votes. This is a toss-up since Poe’s vote are a mixed and if given a choice aside from Poe, most will vote for Binay and Roxas and some for Duterte. Still a toss-up between Binay and Roxas.

    3. If the COMELEC insist that they are the final arbiter in the disqualification cases and force the implementation that Poe’s name is not to be included, then Poe’s name is erased. Poe’s case will be elevated to SC and will ask for TRO that Poe’s name be included in the ballot while the SC is deliberating. COMELEC defies SC and will go ahead printing ballots without Poe’s name and there is a constitutional crisis on the role of COMELEC and SC. COMELEC will insist that it is not their fault that Poe’s qualifications did not comply according to their interpretation and will abide by its mandate their right to only print the names, who are complied with the constitution, in the ballot. However if to meet in the middle, COMELEC will insist that if ever SC decides that Poe is an eligible candidate, then Poe will shoulder the cost of printing new ballots. COMELEC will insist that they can’t jeopardize the timetable for a candidate who did not comply with the constitutional requirements. Poe’s loss whatever the case…

    Currently the lawyers of Escudero are lobbying the SC Justices to delay their decision and just let Poe’s name included in the official ballot being prepared by COMELEC. The intent of Escudero is for himself. Once Poe’s name is he retains the halo effect and retain a substantial part of Poe’s supporters voting for him. At the same time by steering Poe’s endorsement to Santiago, Binay will have a better chance and go head to head with Roxas.

    Binay’s lawyers are also lobbying for the disqualification of Poe, whoever Poe endorses, Binay’s stock will be better than Poe’s name in the ballot. Alliance with Escudero will be even sweeter for Binay as long as Greg does not go crazy and assassinate Binay if the betrayal is uncovered.

    Roxas lawyers are just there to lobby the SC to uphold the constitution for they are confident that the SC will decide similar to the positions of SC Carpio, Leonardo-de Castro, and Brion on Poe’s NBFC case and more confident that the SC will decide against Poe on her Residency case. Aquino’s lawyers are also on the lookout that Gloria appointed SC Justices would not put a monkey wrench by making it as a bargaining chip to free Gloria or the least grant bail.

    So there you go! Poe is not the President yet but she is bringing chaos already even in the election process. How much disaster will she brings us if she is elected as President?

    Parekoy
    12-05-2015

    • errata…

      1. If Poe is DQ’d by SC before the end of the year, her name will definitely be not in the ballot xxx

      *
      Once Poe’s name is in he retains the halo effect xxx

      *
      How much disaster will she bring us if she is elected as President?

      • “How much disaster will she bring us if she is elected as President?”
        hindi pa man nagbobotohan, lumabas na si mgl.
        siya na ang Panggulo.

  5. SOME RANDOM THOUGHTS

    1. Here’s the solution to Grace Poe’s lack of residency:

    https://sowhatsnews.wordpress.com/2015/12/04/comelec-moves-2016-elections-to-july-11-to-accommodate-grace-poe/

    2. Duterte names the priest he claims fondled him. Problem is, the priest is now dead. I wonder how he died and who killed him. Hmmm….

    3. Duterte says he will donate P1,000 to Caritas everytime he uses cuss words. Since he admitted he has P6M in savings, that’s about 6,000 putang-inas he will be saying until the May elections.

    4. Duterte: Daang Madugo

    5. Grace Poe: Kapag na-disqualify ako, dapat mag-withdraw na rin si Duterte. Diba sabi niya ako ang dahilan ng kanyang pag-takbo?

  6. CAMPAIGN SLOGANS I WANT TO SEE

    Grace Poe. Hilaw sa pagka-pangulo. Hilaw na Pilipino.
    Ayusin natin si Grace Poe.
    Huwag iboto.

    Jejomar Binay. Malikot ang Kamay.

    Rody Duterte. Balasubas na alkalde, balasubas na presidente. Walang takot sa Diyos, lahat pinapatos.

    Miriam Santiago. Walking Dead Season 7.

    Bongbong Marcos. #SaanGalingAngPeraMo

    Chiz Escudero. The Poe Whisperer.

    • Now, my question is, can Erap really substitute for Grace Poe since Grace Poe is running as an independent candidate?

      As a follow up question on that, can Grace Poe get a party registered at this late in time at the Comelec, or can Grace Poe be adopted by NPC or NP or any other political party to pave the way for Erap to substitute for her?

      • Erap can substitute for Romel Mendoza, secretary-general of Kalipunan ng Masang Pilipino (Kampil), which is allied with his Pwersa ng Masang Pilipino (PMP). Erap will decide on or before Dec 10. Erap is offering his not running as President as bargaining chip to grant Jinggoy bail.

        It is too late for Poe to have create her own party. The decision for Poe an Escudero to be ‘Independent’ kuno is twofold:

        1. To convince the people that Poe is not under any obligation for the Party if she has one, and she has only sole obligation for the Filipino People, yet Danding and Ongpin and other Taipans contributed to her campaign kitty mocks her claim.

        2. Escudero’s tactics so as not to have a substitute for Poe as President if ever she is disqualified. Chiz is playing a complicated con game here. What puzzles me is that Poe never question the motive of Escudero’s Law Firm who prepared her Senatorial COC filling up her residency of 6yrs and 6 months and making sure that Poe’s residency requirement is not enough if she ever entertain running for VP or Presidency. Chiz played and is playing Poe so well and Poe is so trusting. Poe does not know that Chiz has plenty of options and will not hesitate to betray her as he betrayed Roxas and FPJ for Chiz’s Survival! There is a ‘talk’ in the grapevine that Binay and Chiz have some renewal of ties and Binay will junk Honasan if Poe is disqualified as long as Chiz steer Poe to not to endorse Roxas since Binay is most likely not be endorsed by Poe anyway. Binay is hoping that Poe endorses Santiago so as not to add votes to Roxas or Duterte and Binay is confident that Santiago’s vote is still not enough to win and the contest is between Binay and Roxas to the top!

        • Thank you again Parekoy for a well thought out response. This clears a lot of things as the circus gets wilder and wilder.

          My problem with that is that Estrada’s VP is BBM, and I think it’s a very dangerous case for the Philippines if BBM because president by default if ever Estrada wins…

        • This is unlikely to happen as Romel Mendoza will likely be classified as a nuisance candidate, if such has not yet happened. Just the same, I think, it is time to re-visit the provision in the election law that allows for substitution. Substitution, to my mind, should only be allowed if the person, originally running for the position, passes away or is incapacitated. That way, we can avoid the circus that we find ourselves in at the moment.

        • ‘Chiz played and is playing Poe so well and Poe is so trusting.’ Trust.

          I had to pick this up ‘How Can You Know Whom to Trust?’ . . .

          ‘The news is drenched in stories of declining trust. Trust in our institutions, trust in companies, trust in our leaders – all are down. We need not surrender to mass cynicism, but it’s worth exploring: just how do you know whom to trust?’

          ‘“Whom can you trust?” sounds simple and straightforward enough – but it’s a trick question, for two reasons. First of all, you can’t know the answer with certainty. Secondly, the question is as much about the trustor as it is about the trustee.’

          ‘Ronald Reagan’s famous dictum “trust but verify,” was misleading; if you have to verify, you’re not trusting. There simply is no trust without risk. To trust, by definition, is to put oneself in harms way of the actions of another in the belief that the other will not choose harm.’

          ‘Trust is a trick question.’

          ‘Hockey great Wayne Gretzky put it well: the only way to never miss a shot is to never take one. The only way to never trust the wrong person is to never trust anyone.’

          Never trust anyone.

          ‘Asking “whom can I trust,” makes it sound like trust is all about the other person. But it also has to do with us. For one thing, it depends on what’s at stake. I might trust Amazon to guess my preferences in books ­– but not to line me up with a potential date. You might trust someone to recommend a stock but not share with them family health and insurance information. You can’t answer “whom can I trust,” without answering, “to do what?” ‘

          Trust someone TO DO WHAT?

          Finally, ‘Whom can you trust? In several ways, the answer involves you as well as the other person.’

          Thus, as Parekoy said ‘Poe does not know that Chiz has plenty of options and will not hesitate to betray her as he betrayed Roxas and FPJ for Chiz’s Survival!

          Betrayal is at the end of a trust.

        • I hope the opportunity to ask Chiz this question arises. Granting for the sake of argument that he is elected VP and that Grace’s disqualification is upheld for now due to purely residency issues, thus making her eligible to run in 2022. Will Chiz, give way to Grace, in the 2022 Presidential race? His answer will define him and the state of their “relationship”.

    • Do we deserve this continuing mockery of election rules? The substitution clause should be stricken out as it has created a lot of loopholes that are being exploited to the hilt by cunning but undeserving politicians. Why do we allow this to take place?

      • do we have to live by this?

        “Do we deserve this continuing mockery of election rules?”

        and how shall we compare that to a turnaround decision of sc by a mere letter of a defense lawyer to a tj?

        • In yesterday’s telecast of DZMM’s ” Pasada Sais Trenta”, anchor Karen Davila made a statement to the effect, that seemed irresponsible to me, to say the least. In effect, what she said that ” Huwag naman sanang i-desqualify yong mga nangunguna sa survey” obviously referring to both Grace and Digong. She did add on to this by saying “pangit naman ata yong manalo sino man nang wala nang kalaban. Karen should be reminded that we are governed by laws and that we have sworn allegiance to the Constitution. If candidates are not qualified for one reason or another, then so be it. But, leaning towards the vox populi, vox Dei line, to my mind, is a recipe for disaster. What are laws for, if these are not followed?

  8. yes, nothing is too late.
    the battle is still a long way to go.
    everyday is a gonna be a gruelling act.
    and there will be a lot of realignments and fantastic barters.
    gpl shall later realize who is keso de bolero?

  9. Frankly, I don’t know much on ‘accurate meassurements of distances.’ I volunteer to give this one scenario: –

    Sen. Bongbong now running a far second. . . to Sen. Chiz. How far second is that?

    While for Rep. Leni Robredo – it may be “TOO LATE” for her to spurt to the head of the pack.

    Which is bad or soo bad or baddest – ‘far second’ or ‘too late’? 5 VP candidates there are.

    If Leni need only to ‘spurts’ to the head of the pack, that will be something better than ‘far second’ ? Sen. Chiz ‘is stubborn’ and will not ‘drop out.’ This is his chance now.

    Sen. Bongbong needs Sen. Chiz to endorse him but looks like no way it will happen.

    Will supporters of other VP candidates SHIFT to someone other than to Sen. Bongbong? Possible? Shift maybe to Leni who may be at the last of the race?

    Money of Sen. Bongbong is an item for this SHIFT, so to HIM will it be? Will Cayetano shift to Sen. Bongbong or to Leni? How about Sen. Honasan to Leni too?

    Since Sen. Bongbong is ‘far second’. . . meaning will not win against Sen. Chiz, Sens. Honasan and Cayetano SHIFT their supporters to Leni to make her ‘spurts’ to lead the pack.

    Anyway, Honasan and Cayetano will lose it just the same as Leni and Sen. Bongbong will if the former two senators do not shift at all.

    What ‘good exchange’ would Honasan and Cayetano expect if both shifts to Leni? No money ‘to. While to Sen. Bongbong may be willing to spurt money for such shift?

    What do ‘we’ think these two – H & C, would do or go to? Politics or money? In politics there is a good political relationship afterwards. In money, there is none, as the receiver is just alone.

    When the race is near the finish line, NEAR – will there be the UNEXPECTED or expected SHIFT of supporters of VP candidates H & C? To Leni or Sen. Bongbong?

    Will it be spurting NECK-to-NECK between Sen. Chiz and Leni then if the SHIFT if to the latter to lead the pack? To counter this Sen. Bongbong will really be SPURTING a long of money to lead the pack from being a ‘far second.’

    I do not believe Leni’s ‘too late’ will stop her ‘spurting’ ahead. There is no strong reason that just being ‘late’ or ‘too late’ will. But Sen. Bongbong being ‘far second’ has good reasons why he is in that position.

    I agree – being ‘too late’ is in the ‘thinking.’ Compared to ‘far second’ there are good reasons for it.

    Since this may be a long sitcom, prepare a SACK of POPCORN and a SACK OF PEANUTS with Brandy and Soft Drinks!

    . . . and Parekoy will be so LOUD and CLEAR in the nearby neighborhood.

    he he

    • Ha ha haha!

      Loud and clear!

      **
      Leni is gaining momentum and there will be a ‘Robredo surprise’ in May…

      • I agree with Parekoy that we’re due for a pleasant surprise as far as Leni is concerned. And yes, where Leni goes, Mar goes.

  10. Raissa,

    You seem to have a better feel about the development as we approach D-Day or the May 2016 Election compared to your political analyst friend. I believe you got it right with your, ‘nothing is “too late” unless you think it.’

    Giancarlo, a sometime contributor here and a contributor at JoeAm’s has an interesting article at JoeAm’s which illustrates the concept of the “last few weeks before the election” or the “last minute” voter being crucial.

    You and the others here may find it worthwhile to check on that if you have time. The article uses the Google Trend tool and Giancarlo provides animated graphics to illustrate.

  11. Nothing is too late for the continuing economic growth of our country!!! Let us all work for ROXAS / ROBREDO!!!

  12. When our future is at stake, not losing all the gains achieved from the last 6 year, filipinos should not look at this as a long situation comedy (Sitcom) said by your favorite analyst. Still RoRo 2016 for the win? ???

  14. May paglalagyan yan si Chiz, bale inaamag na at pati bubwit eh di na patulan!

    :)

    On a serious note, Team Poe is feeling the heat and in panic mode. After Aquino criticized Roxas’ rivals the Senatorial Candidates aligned with Poe are now super frantic and the unmentionable, Hocus PCOS, is now on the table.

    As i shared before, this 2016 election will be dirty and bloody. For now the knives are out and ready to slice each other as euphemism. There is a danger though that this will turn ugly for Duterte does not have euphemism in his Tourette Dictionary.

    On Leni, I think it is a packaged deal with Roxas. If Roxas is elected so as Leni, otherwise both go down.

    I have the popcorn, the caramel kind, and I’m loving the show wherein we have some roles in it!

    Cheers!

  15. I don’t think Chiz will ever give way. He has never been this close. Unless of course, their financiers back out and throw their support for someone else given the impending disqualification of GPL. It behooves me why people continue to be attracted to BBM despite everything that has been exposed about him personally as well as the Marcos misdeeds and stolen wealth.

    • Really and truly, we are not a nation of LOSERS are we ???? Pag naakyat yang Bong-i na yan, PATAY na ang kabayo ❁