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Why Leni Robredo could still win

May 10, 2016

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Just my opinion

By Raïssa Robles

The explanation is quite simple.

It’s not “Plan B”, as Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos, Jr. claims.

It’s Rodrigo Duterte.

Before Duterte’s miting de avance (final rally) last Saturday, Marcos was grafting himself to almost every presidential candidate, including Duterte. In fact, he had boasted that Duterte had said that if in six months’ time he failed to reduce criminality he (Duterte) would resign and hand the presidency over to Bongbong Marcos.

Last Thursday, during the Rotary Club of Manila meeting which I attended, Marcos announced that he would suggest to Duterte that they should “join forces” to ensure each other’s victory and to prevent cheating. He also said the only way he could lose was if he was cheated.

However, Duterte himself threw Marcos’ plans in a spanner last Saturday. During his miting de avance, Duterte appealed for the first time to his supporters to vote for Alan Peter Cayetano because it was Cayetano he was comfortable with. For the first time, Duterte categorically said that Cayetano was the person who had his back.

Such a move meant that Duterte supporters would follow and drop Marcos in favor of Cayetano. I was wondering if this late move of Duterte would propel Cayetano to the very top. But I doubted this would happen because there would not be enough momentum to do that.

However, Duterte’s move would shave votes from Marcos. Votes that he was banking on to propel him to victory.

During last week’s Rotary Club meeting, Marcos had jokingly told the businessmen present that making him the vice-president would effectively shield Duterte from any impeachment move because people would not want him to become president.

If Leni Robredo wins, this introduces a note of instability to his presidency. It makes him temptingly impeachable.

Ironically, it was Duterte himself who told his supporters to vote for Cayetano in order to shield himself from impeachment moves.

Of course, Leni Robredo might not get the numbers in the end. But right now, the race is neck-and-neck, thanks in part to Duterte.

 

Tagged With: Jr., Leni Robredo, Rodrigo Duterte, Senator Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos

Comments

  1. BFD says

    May 24, 2016 at 11:57 PM

    If federalism is such an antidote for poverty just like what’s being promoted by its proponents with the United States as an example of federal states, are we forgetting that the United States is also suffering from its share of homeless people, meaning poor people and they are supporting them through welfare?

    • moonie says

      May 25, 2016 at 5:54 AM

      pakistan and india are both under fed govt, pero daming corruption, over populated, and terrorists haven pa. so many poor people around too. the rich are richest, the poor are poorest.

      in united states, everyone owns gun/guns and crime is daily occurrence. there is mass killings, racial hatred and crazy gooks all around. peace, aside from that. pay might be good, but taxes are high.

      • Kalahari says

        May 25, 2016 at 3:38 PM

        The US Constitution allows citizens to bear arms

  2. vander says

    May 24, 2016 at 8:51 AM

    https://sg.news.yahoo.com/philippine-dictator-marcos-heros-burial-duterte-154929859.html
    duts shall become part of marcos legacy in phl history.
    good luck duts.

  3. Maxima says

    May 22, 2016 at 9:07 PM

    DUTERTE: I DECIDE ALONE
    Good news! Duterte makes the decisions alone! He cannot be influenced by others. Good sound bytes.

    But, one asks- how does he explain the flip flops? Does he decide alone but with multiple personalities?

    But, how does one explain Cayetano’s role and influence at this stage?

    But, one hopes that he will do all the necessary consultations prior to making
    decisions.

    But…there’s an “art and science” to that–that many good wives have perfected. Husbands are led to believe that they make the decisions. Ha! Yeah right. To paraphrase a quote from the movie “The big fat Greek wedding”–The husband is the head of the family and the wife is the neck. The neck can make the head turn to where the head should look. One adds, the neck can also make the head shake no or nod yes. :D

    Let’s chuck it to something good-provided he is also above manipulation. He is a populist–vulnerable to a lot of machinations.

    He has been friends with Quiboloy for a very long time–really good for him to be gifted with houses, etc. They would have known already by this time where friendship begins and ends. QB has been extraordinarily generous with him. Duterte should have already spoken to him how goes friendship, politics and business. Otherwise, one can say, Duterte led him on. He used QB and ditched him when he got the prize.

    Depending on who has more stakes to lose (or black mailable?)..Best friends can be the worst enemies. It will be interesting to watch.

    http://news.abs-cbn.com/halalan2016/nation/05/22/16/duterte-to-friends-i-decide-alone

    • raissa says

      May 23, 2016 at 12:03 AM

      Or maybe it’s just moro-moro?

      • Maxima says

        May 23, 2016 at 2:12 AM

        True that!

        When Ms. Raissa speaks, she has some basis.
        Waaaay. That rhymes.
        Can hardly wait for your post-election articles.
        Keep well.

        All the best to you, Mr. Alan and the whole family.

        • moonie says

          May 23, 2016 at 6:36 AM

          I think, when mr 75 per cent duterte said, I decide alone; he means we: him and the valedictorians he said are now working for him. duterte will be their mouthpiece and make it appear the ideas come from him.

          by the way, duterte seems to be copying pres noy, duterte is not going to have 1st lady also.
          bayot, e, baka si cayetano ang gawing 1st lady, he, he, he. 1st lady in drag, always at duterte’s side.

        • moonie says

          May 23, 2016 at 7:20 AM

          it’s possible na hindi valedictorian si pastor quiboloy kaya ayaw na ni duterte sa kanya. apparently, duterte now wants to be surrounded by valedictorians; plus, quiboloy is not npa or communist, therefore, not flavour of the month twice over.

        • Maxima says

          May 23, 2016 at 7:58 AM

          Naughty, naughty. ;D

  4. leona says

    May 21, 2016 at 10:27 PM

    ‘Some Palace staffers are disturbed and dismayed by a recent order issued to some departments under the Office of the President (OP). It’s a straightforward and curt order: shred certain government documents and memoranda signed by outgoing President Benigno Aquino III and other Cabinet secretaries.’

    ‘shred certain government documents…’ – true? Why?

    http://www.rappler.com/newsbreak/inside-track/133784-shredding-documents-palace

    • Victinluz says

      May 22, 2016 at 5:50 AM

      That will only shows ,PPNOY are hiding something or many things. The LOST of Scarborough Shoal must be true that PNOY is accountable. DAP spending will now be open for srutinies and many more skeletons hidden on Pnoys closet .

      • Anton Mendoza says

        May 22, 2016 at 9:35 AM

        you sure? please educate me. wink wink

        • Victinluz says

          May 22, 2016 at 8:12 PM

          YES naman: Maniniwala ka ba na hindi nagsabi ng TOTOO si PURISIMA kay PNOY na kailangan na nilang kanyonin ang lugar ng mga tumambang sa blocking force ng SAF na mga MNLF at sina Marwan? they were having a COMMAND CONFERENCE — walang nagpaalala na kailangan kailngan na nila ng tulong uramismo noon.? Hindi lang command responsilbilty iyon [email protected]….krimin ang ginawa PNOY sa pagpapabaya na tulungan ang SAF na mga namatay..

          Ang NAVY ship na umalis sa Scarborough Shoal noon habang nandoon ang mga barko ng INSTSIK na NAIWAN sa shoal, sinung nag utos na umalis ? Ang kumander o kapitan ng NAVY ..maniniwala ba ang mga MANG MANG na Filipino na kagaya namin na sya lang ang nag utos na umalis at kumuha ng supplies ( MULA NOON HANGGANG NGAYON ay HINDI BUMALIK) at sinakop na mga ng intsik at ngayon mga ay gusto nna nilang re claom at tayuan ng mga stuctures… HINDI ALAM ni PNOY ,, nagsinungaling din sila sa kanya..he he….ACCOUNTABLE si PNOY @mr anton…at ang backdoor negotiatin ni Trillanes na alam din PNOY na bawal si PNOY ….dapat sagutin ni PNOY ang mga pangyayaring mga ito…

          TRUTH @Anton…

        • Victinluz says

          May 22, 2016 at 9:03 PM

          SHERD– no wonder FOI bill was not a priority bill to PNOY….to destroy or ruined the condition of an Official Documents especially MEMOs already signed by the President….How will Dutertes incoming team know or realize which of which documents have saved files in the computers? Papaano naman nila malalaman na hindi iportante ang shredded official documents? How many hard copies are required to be printed and saved by the National Archives?

          Ang gumagawa lang nito o kaya lang inuutos ito ay kung may naisulat ng PNOY adminastration lalong llalo na pag napirmahan ni PNOY at may anomalya or deceitful to the PUBLIC and etc..

          HINDI ITO PANGKARANIWAN na GAWAIN ng MATINONG UPISINA at MATINONG PAG IISIP na BOSS na NAGUUTUS.

        • Anton Mendoza says

          May 22, 2016 at 9:41 PM

          LOL, wala lang

    • moonie says

      May 22, 2016 at 1:03 PM

      leone, it’s common office practice to do housekeeping and getting rid of useless clutter like old and redundant memos, birthday cards, personal invitations, funeral notices, periodicals, newsletters, etc. those correspondences that had action already done, and no longer require further action got filed away, or are shredded. gotta clean the office and make space for the incoming incumbent. or, the office will end up with mountains of dry paper, fire hazard yan, unsightly and also block office traffic.

      when all data had already been entered into the computer’s database, their accuracy verified, the hard copies can then be destroyed or shredded. pero, if office staff are concerned na may shenanigan, they ought to show us copies of said documents instead of just shredding them.

      • moonie says

        May 22, 2016 at 1:10 PM

        where I work, we shred old documents. we used to put them in recycling bins but when our old documents end up in the dumpster and people reading them, getting people’s names, tel numbers and addresses, we become concerned and end up shredding the documents before putting them in recycling bins.

      • leona says

        May 23, 2016 at 11:17 AM

        . . . the President’s Office is not a common office. . . .like a private home or private company office.

        It is the Office of the President of the Republic. A law [I dunno the number] covers all its records and documents, etc. to be preserved intact. For history sake.

        Anyway, Palace denied any shredding in today’s news paper. But there was a smoke that came out. . . black or white, I dunno.

        he he he

    • Maxima says

      May 22, 2016 at 9:13 PM

      A responsible journalist/reporter should have sought the explanation of the other side. Rappler has been publishing rather tabloid-ish substandard articles recently. Dunno why.

      • moonie says

        May 23, 2016 at 6:28 AM

        I believe there are edjets working in rappler, nahawaan ni mr 75 per cent duterte. rappler ought to look for valedictorians with good working habits, he, he, he.

    • Maxima says

      May 23, 2016 at 8:14 AM

      Palace denies shredding of documents (GMA NEWS)
      Published May 23, 2016 7:45am
      Executive Secretary Pacquito Ochoa Jr. belied reports of ordering Malacañang staff under the Office of the President to shred documents and communication records, a report on Unang Balita on Monday said.

      A report surfaced on Saturday saying some Palace staffers were ordered to shred certain government documents and memoranda signed by outgoing President Benigno Aquino III and other Cabinet secretaries.

      Ochoa said there was no such order, stressing that all these documents are archived in the Malacañang Records Office (MRO).

      He said his office and the MRO do not have the directive to order transfer or shredding of documents.

      Ochoa added that the current administration is now in the process of creating transition committees which will produce transition reports for the incoming administration. —Kiersnerr Gerwin Tacadena/KG, GMA News

      Show comments
      – See more at: http://www.gmanetwork.com/news/story/567267/news/nation/palace-denies-shredding-of-documents#sthash.2uYWbeKe.dpuf

  5. vander says

    May 20, 2016 at 12:44 PM

    hi ms. raissa,
    just wondering if you have any write-up on esti mendoza, jr.
    kung hindi naman kalabisan ang isang request na mai-post mo rito..:)
    more power!

  6. Victinluz says

    May 20, 2016 at 10:28 AM

    Sa ngayon mga kapwa ko CPMErs na hindi bias ay…..we deserved to have DUTERTE as our PRESIDENT elect ……mabuti nalang at hindi si ROXAS……tiyak itatago ni Roxas ang kasalanan ni PNOY at ABAD…..pero mas maganda pa din sa akin si POE sana ang nananlo. He he

    • Rasec3 says

      May 20, 2016 at 1:11 PM

      Two words to describe @Victinloose… POEWER RANGER…LOL…Master of poelitical poenditry…which part of “election is over” MOVE ON ang di mo ma gets… :D

      • Rasec3 says

        May 20, 2016 at 3:00 PM

        Erratum: Poe-wet-try

        • Victinluz says

          May 20, 2016 at 5:33 PM

          Parang kayo ang hindi maka move on , na maka Roxas..

    • martial_law_baby says

      May 21, 2016 at 2:16 PM

      Aba aba, huy Victinluz, sabihin mo sa binalimbingan mong bagong idol na si Duterte, bago Federalism ang unahin, priority nya muna yung anti dynasty bill. Kasi pag Federal form of government, mas lalong lalaki ang saklaw ng mga political dynasties, mawawalan lalo ng chance na makaupo ang mga mangmang na katulad mo. Pwede siguro gawa ka party list ng mga mangmang. Baka sakali dun magka pwesto ka sa gobyerno. Ok, tahan ka na ha, talunan ka din eh. Tumutulo uhog mo. Yung gamot mo huwag mong kakalimutan ha para makatulog ka. Once a day lang ang ketamine, pang sira ulong kabayo kasi iyon. Pero pag hindi pa rin kinaya ang isa, gawin mo nang dalawa o kaya mag cocktail ka na with diazepam. Baka sakali kumalma ka na. Nabula na kasi yang bibig mo. Kahit sa pag type sa keyboard na uutal ka. Mukhang ginigiyang ka na naman.

      • Victinluz says

        May 21, 2016 at 4:00 PM

        Ha ha , kahit anong paikot ikot mo sa comments mo @martial law Baby….put them all together our concluson …..Hindi kayo MAKAPANIWALA that with all those PNOYs / Peoples logistics –HA HA TALO si ROXAS ninyo…he he …tapos kayong mga elitista …dyan na si JOMA , bayad na kayo ng tunay na halaga ng TAXES ninyo..baka may anak kang pusher shoot to kill iyan he he…..just study ” STRENGHT of MATERIALs ” and you will learn how ROXAS with your help FAILED to be your President .. bye bye i have to make some problems for my mid term exams….he he TALUNAN kayo ay wag mag SOUR GRAPING…

  7. Victinluz says

    May 20, 2016 at 10:19 AM

    Ha ha nakakatawa kayo talaga mga CPMERsna taga ROXAS…. talo na ang manok ninyo he he at kahit maging VP man si LENI or later on maging Presidente natin ….IPAPA IMBESTIGA NYA pa din si PNOY at TRILLANES at si ROXAS….Kaya wag na kayong mangarap dyan hoy…at mga anak ninyong mga drug pusher BABARILIN na ng mga PULIS at pati kayong mga kunsintidor na magulang na taga CPMERs ikukulung din kayo pag nahuli sa curfew ang mga menor de edad na anak ninyo , KAHIT KAYO ay MATATALINO..

  8. Victinluz says

    May 20, 2016 at 6:51 AM

    TRASH TALKER — he he pag totoo ang sinasabi ko at TINATAMAAN kayo he he TRASH TALKER ako ha…

    BASURA pala sa mga taga Roxas ang pagkawala ng Scarborough Shoal na kagagawan ni Pnoy at Trillanes..

    Sayang matatalino pa naman kayo pero MABABAW parin….nagtatakip lang kayo ng kamalian nina Pnoy at Roxas . diverting issues , twisting facts to suit your own agenda.. Mga Journalist pa naman ang iba sa inyo here pero ,tama hanggang dito lang kayo..

    Pag masakit na masakit o NASASAKTAN na ang ba dito sa atin …Hihingi ng tulongkay @RAISSA …help BAN na natin [email protected] LUZ he he .

    Everytime that somebody was BANNED here ay nangangahulugan na TAMA kami at kayo ang MALI…kaya talo kayo noong nakaraang election..he he talo din ako pero nakangiti naman..

    • Johnny Lin says

      May 20, 2016 at 9:22 AM

      Hindi ka iba-ban, nasa likod moko, nakatalikod nga lamang ?
      Kapag na “ban” ka, di ka na Basurero para maging presidente
      Asenso na ngalan mo
      “Ban-dido” na, kasing gwapo mo naman Si Antonio Banderas hi hi hi

      • Johnny Lin says

        May 20, 2016 at 9:44 AM

        @VictinLuz
        Usap usapan ka sa palengke ngayon. Nakaringgan nag iba ka ng pangalan from Basurero(trash talker) to Bandido(Ban from CPM)

        Gani Barbero: hoy Rosa Tindera, kung si VictinLuz ay lalaking Bandido ano ang tawag mo sa babae
        Rosa: eh di Bandida, tanga!
        Gani: Mali! BanDildo tawag dun mas tanga! Eh di ba babae lamang gumagamit ng dildo.

        Linda Manicurista: hoy Gani, yung Boss Johnny mo BAKla, ano tawag dun
        Gani: Bandolero ba?
        Rosa: sino ang mas tanga sa atin ngayun. Yun Lang di mo pa alam. Eh di BAKdildo
        Gani: oo nga ano! Binabae nga pala siya, sa Wet-pu

        He he he

        • Victinluz says

          May 20, 2016 at 10:00 AM

          @sir Johnny …he he ikaw naniniwala ako that most of your comments here are justified with valid reasons/justifications ..pero ang mga kasamahan mo dito ..basahin mo at SOUR GRAPING lang….FOI tayo diba…ikaw @Johnny kailan naging basura ang isyo ng pagkawala ng Scarborough Shoal? dahil ba tatamaan ng matindi si PNOY di ba…

        • Johnny Lin says

          May 20, 2016 at 10:07 AM

          Karugtong

          Biglang dumating si Boss Johnny, narinig pala usapan

          Boss: hoy kayong 2 tomboy na daldalera, ano tawag sa inyong dalawa?
          Gani: boss, ano tawag sa kanila
          Boss: eh di Ban-Dila!

          TAPOS!

          He he he

  9. Victinluz says

    May 20, 2016 at 6:39 AM

    TREASON— karamihan sa mga lawyers at karaniwang mamayang Filipino ay ang pagkawala sa ating sovereign power ,temporary o permanent , ang Scarboroigh Shoal ay TREASON for both Trillanes and Pnoy…Dapat ang magiging pangulo ng DOJ at ang Ombudsman will be fair enough to investigate and prosecute Trillanes and Pnoy…isama sana nila ang mga CPMERs na nababayaran at nagpabayad par maglathala ng kasinungalingan dito sa Blog na ito. At death penalty na din sa mga taga Roxas CPMERS na hindi matanggaptanggap ang pagkatalo ng manko nilang si Roxas kay Duterte….Ako tanggap ko natulo si POE ko ,pero Poe padin ako he he pero suma sang ayon sa mga AGENDA ni DUTERTE . Pag nagkamali naman si Duterte ay ibang usapan na iyan .Pero sa kasalukuyan ang SOUR GRAPING iwasan muna natin, he he.

    • martial_law_baby says

      May 20, 2016 at 9:17 AM

      May Tulo si Poe? Kami rin tanggap na namin na Talo si Roxas at panalo si Leni. Yung ticket mo parehong talunan. Hihirit ka na naman dyan. Treason, alam mo ba ang ibig sabihin nun? Pwede ka lang mag kaso ng treason kung may gyera. O eto for your education. Mag ingat ka pag may pinasang batas laban sa mga mangmang, baka ma death penalty ka.

      ELEMENTS OF TREASON:
      1.That the offender owes allegiance to the Government of the Philippines
      2.That there is a war in which the Philippines is involved
      3. That the offender either –
      4.Levies war against the government,
      1.breech of allegiance
      2.actual assembling of men
      3. for the purpose of executing a reasonable design
      4. breech of allegiance
      5. adherence to the enemies,
      6. giving them aid and comfort

      • Victinluz says

        May 20, 2016 at 9:53 AM

        [email protected] Law Baby…..dahil ba sa MANG MANG ka o ganiti pag MANG MANG ka pala at gumawa ng kasalanan kagaya ng DRUGs Crimes ay libre kana sa eath penalty ? Gusto ninyo nang ganito dahil kayong matatalinong CPMERs na kapag anak ninyo ang sumuway sa batas kagaya ng DRUG pushing ay ayaw ninyong patungan ng DEATH PENALTY? Ha ha , naku,,,,

        PAG MANGMANG ay may karapatan kang maging DRUG PUSHER kasi hindi ka mapapatingan ngaridang death penalty? O kaya nyo lang nasasabi iyan dahil si DUTERTE ang may programa kasi tinalo nya si ROXAS ninyo… Na kung si Roxas sana ang nanalo ( he he wala ngang paga asa kahit kailan na maging Presidente si ROXAS ninyo he he never on earth ) at gusto nya ng Death penalty ay inyong isusulung dahil tauhan nya kayo.?

        Maraming salamat walng TREASON pala ang ginawa ni PNOY at Trillanes sa pagkawala sa atin ang Scarborough Shoal….matalino ka mga @Martial law baby he he ang dapat na gawin nyo ngayon mga alipores ni Roxas ay kallkalin ninyo kung ano ang dapat na IKASO natin kay PNOY sa pagkawala ng SS islet…he he ..saka [email protected] ein ang ibinoto ko he he…..kaya lang uulitin ko hindi nyo kayang LOKOHIN si LENI…ikukulung nya pati si Roxas ninyo pag naungkat muli ang MSPAPASANO incedent at may ALAM pala sya noon ..

        Sino ngayon sa atin ang BOBO di ikaw at kayong talunan na taga Roxas dahil , ang tatalino ninyo ,itinatago ninyo ang mga kasalanan ng PNOY at Roxas , sa pamamagitan ng paglathala ng mali mali comments dito noon pa against kay Binay, tapos against kay POE at against kay Duterte at kahit si Brenda ang utak he he….sa pagtahimik ninyo sa mga nagawang kamalian ni PNOY at Roxas dyan ang masasabi naning mga Pilino na KABOBOHAN dahil kapanakan lang ninyo ang gusto ninyong masunud na dapat na manalo si Roxas ninyo… He he BOBO [email protected] law baby….MATALINONG BOBO nga lang…

        • Victinluz says

          May 20, 2016 at 10:06 AM

          Ang ating pagiging MANG MANG ba ay lisensya natin para maging DRUG PUSHER/USER or to commit crimes?

          @Martial law baby……Bakit ayaw no ng death penalty ? Dahil ba kasama ka sa mga nagawa ng krimin ,kagaya ng hindi pagbabayad ng tamang BUWIS?

          Bakit pag si ROXAS at PNOY na ang nalabas ng mga nagawang kasalanan ha ha naging BASURA na ang mga comments namin…he he KABOBOHAN na iyan di ba.

        • gil garcia says

          May 20, 2016 at 1:27 PM

          @victinluz, dati bago mag election binabasa ko mga post mo para malaman ko side ng poe-supporters. pero pagkatapos ng election pinagpatuloy mo ang pag bash sa mga hindi bumoto kay poe at dinagdagan mo pa ng pagtawag sa kanila ng hindi magandang pangalan. sa ngayon masakit na ang pananalita mo laban sa mga cpmers na kumokontra kay duterte. nag switch allegiance ka na pala. pakiusap po sa inyo na itigil na ang name-calling at bashing sa mga cpmers na nagbibigay lang ng opinyon sa blog na ito. salamat po kung mapagbibgyan at salamat
          na rin kung ayaw man lang. let us act as a gentleman/lady in words and action please.

        • Victinluz says

          May 22, 2016 at 7:55 PM

          Oo naman @gil garcia…bakit hindi basta ba ang tama lang ang sasabihin natin dito at walang dugtung .Lahat ng mga gagawin ni Duterte na mali ay dapat nating punain .Pero ang kasalanan ni PNOY at mga kasamahan nya ay dapat din nating kalkalin , uusisahin at ibubunyag dito sa blog na ito pero dapat din na ang katotothanan lang..

          BALANCE — journalism …BALANCE posting of comments…Ang kayotohanan lang di po ba..

« Older Comments
First they came for the Socialists, and I did not speak out— Because I was not a Socialist Then they came fof the Trade Unionists, and I did not out speak out— Because I was not a Trade Unionist. Then they came for the Jews, and I did not speak out— Because I was not a Jew. Then they came for me— And there was no one left to speak for me. —Martin Niemöller (1892-1984)

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